Maid Park, the likes of Jose Altuve, Georg
in Mitglieder 30.10.2019 11:14von mary123 • | 2.355 Beiträge
Every NFL team begins the season with hope. We never know when a 4-12 team will suddenly turn things around the next year by discovering a magical rkie quarterback. Of course, we also dont know when an 11-5 team will suddenly encounter a cascade of injuries that drops them to the bottom of the league.Two?games into the season, however, and the picture has already become much clearer. Fans often overreact to how well or how badly teams play early in the season, but we absolutely dont overreact to how important those initial wins and losses are in the standings. Those games have the biggest impact on changing our expectations for which teams will make the postseason. Sixty-one?percent of teams that start 2-0 will make the playoffs, compared with 41 percent of 1-1 teams and just 10 percent of 0-2 teams.So we know that 2-0 teams have helped themselves immensely with early-season wins. But which teams have helped or hurt themselves most? To answer that question, we turned to the 50,000 season simulations we do each week for the Ftball Outsiders playoff odds report, and we compared this weeks simulations with those we did two weeks ago before the 2016 regular season began. You can find the full playoff odds report on?FtballOutsiders.com, and a full explanation of the simulation at the end of this article.Heres a lk at the five teams that have seen their playoff odds improve the most and the five teams that have seen their odds drop the most?in the first two weeks of the season.Better odds1. Philadelphia EaglesOdds before season: 26.2 percent Odds now: 49.0 percentNo team has improved its playoff odds more than Philadelphia, in part because, according to Ftball Outsiders numbers, no team has played better than Philadelphia in the first two weeks. Of course, thats before opponent adjustments, which we dont apply to our metrics until after Week 4. Cleveland and Chicago arent the toughest?teams to play. But even after we account for the quality of those teams, these Philadelphia wins will still lk impressive. Best Cheap Fake Shoes . Datsyuk will miss Tuesdays game against New Jersey and could be sidelined longer, while Cleary will likely miss at least the next three games. Its been an injury-plagued season for Datsyuk, who has suited up for just 39 games. Cheap Shoes Outlet Stores . It was the kind of score that might make everyone else wonder which course he was playing. Except that Graeme McDowell saw the whole thing. Crouched behind the 10th green at Sheshan International, McDowell lked over at the powerful American and said, "Ive probably seen 18 of the best drives Ive seen all year in the last two days. http://www.cheapshoes.us.org/ . With his new coach and six-time Grand Slam singles champion Boris Becker watching him during an official match for the first time, Djokovic appeared tentative early against the Slovakian player, who often appeared content to keep the ball in play. Wholesale Shoes China Free Shipping . -- Al Jefferson found a grve just in time for the Charlotte Bobcats. Cheap Shoes Online Free Delivery . Breaking three of his own world records on his way to winning in Paris, Chan silenced the critics and left the audiences standing in appreciation and awe. Sunday is a streamers delight, as many extended head-to-head scoring periods are down to the last day. Theres a lot to discuss, so lets jump right in.PitchingEliteOn the surface, Jon Lesters first post-break effort is an indication that the slide he was on previously is over, as he held the New York Mets to one run on four hits in 7 2/3 innings. However, a closer lk suggests hes not completely out of the wds -- he fanned only three while issuing a trio of free passes. Facing the Milwaukee Brewers will be a great litmus test as they whiff at an accelerated rate versus southpaws. Theres some danger here for DFS cash play, but GPP enthusiasts can take advantage of a depressed cost for the veteran?Chicago Cubs?left-hander.Corey Kluber is the only other option landing in the elite tier as the Cleveland Indians wrap up a weekend set in Camden Yards. Klubers peripherals are stellar, as usual, and the Baltimore Orioles provide a platform for extra punchouts, but they are also one of the leagues most productive squads versus right-handers. This renders Kluber as another stud better-suited for tournament than cash action.SolidContinuing the theme of a difficult slate for DFS cash game enthusiasts, five hurlers fall in the solid tier, none of which emit that warm and fuzzy feeling intrinsic to cash play. Vince Velasquez kicks off the tier as he squares off with another solid option, Jameson Taillon, as Keystone State rivals -- the?Pittsburgh Pirates and Philadelphia Phillies?-- close out a series in the Steel City. Velasquez is intriguing since the Bucs have been slumping versus right-handers; in July, they sport the third-worst weighted on-base average (wOBA) and have an above-average strikeout rate. Taillon is coming off an outing where he was struck in the head with a line drive, but he has checked out fine. Hes more than holding his own, though his 6.4 K/9 is low for DFS. The Phillies are weak offensively so Taillon is also in play, but the elevated strikeout potential for Velasquez gives him the nod.Attention, cash game players, this ones for you. Steven Matz leads the Mets into South Beach for the finale of a set against the Miami Marlins. Keeping in mind that safety is relative to the rest of the field, Matz is in a gd spot versus a squad with an average wOBA and a healthy strikeout rate versus southpaws. Also, the 25-year old lefty will be opposed by Jose Urena, so on paper, Matz should get run support.Jose Quintana almost always checks in as a fine cash option, but that enthusiasm is tempered as the Detroit Tigers take on the Chicago White Sox?at U.S. Cellular Field. The venue plays neutral in terms of runs, but theres still some risk as the visitors parade several powerful righty hitters to the dish in a park that embellishes power. Considering the other options, using the steady southpaw is defensible, but he sets up better for GPP deployment.The final solid option is Junior Guerra?as the Brewers entertain the Cubs in Miller Park. The 31-year-old righty has maintained an elevated level of performance long enough to be considered a solid major league hurler, though hes outpitching his skills -- his actual 3.06 ERA is almost a full run better than his 4.03 xFIP. Taming the Cubs is a tall task, so Guerra is best used as a contrarian option since most will be focused on his foe, Jon Lester.StreamersA whopping 20 of Sundays scheduled starters register a projected game score between 46 and 52 and thus are in play for a spot start. Lets take a lk at the best options owned in fewer than half of ESPN leagues. If we miss someone of interest, please dont hesitate to inquire in the comments or send a tweet to @ToddZola.Lucas Giolito is slated to make his return, drawing one of the easier teams as the San Diego Padres take on the Washington Nationals in Nationals Park. Giolito struggled with control during his debut stint in the bigs, walking six in his initial 7 2/3 innings. Against a lesser squad, perhaps taking the wait-and-see approach is prudent, but against the team sporting the second-prest wOBA and strikeout rate against righties, the rkie warrants an active roster spot.A.J. Griffin is owned in only 19 percent of ESPN leagues, which is low considering hes set up for a solid outing as the Texas Rangers take on the Kansas City Royals in Kauffmann Stadium. Griffins walk rate is well above average but the Royals are the least ppatient team in the league.ddddddddddddAnibal Sanchezs stay in the rotation may be fleeting but he earned another start with a solid six-inning stint last time out against the Twins, featuring 10 whiffs with only two walks. Hes in line for another decent performance against a White Sox squad thats well below average with a righty on the hill.With his ESPN ownership at 70 percent, Scott Kazmir carries a surprising 9.8 K/9 into Busch Stadium to challenge a St. Louis Cardinals squad sporting the eighth-worst wOBA against southpaws. The reason Kazmir is featured despite a high ownership is hes also in play for DFS, especially since the Redbirds will call up a rkie to start the game. The doubleheader earlier in the week along with the extra-inning affair on Friday night have thinned the choices.Theres some risk, but Zack Godley and his miniscule 1 percent ownership are in the mix, especially for those chasing wins. Godley will take the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks in the Great American Ballpark, which seems daunting, but the dirty little secret is that the venue is neutral for runs despite being a homer haven. Godley is a ground ball pitcher, so if he can keep the ball in the yard, he should hang around long enough to be in play for a win.Blake Snell is another rkie worthy of a spot start as the Tampa Bay Rays finish a set in O.co Coliseum against the middling Oakland Athletics. The 23-year-old lefty is coming off a pair of solid six-inning stints, featuring 16 punchouts to five walks.Snell will be opposed by Jesse Hahn, making his return to the majors after honing his craft with Triple-A Nashville. Hahn was far from dominant but did a gd job keeping the ball in the yard, which was an issue earlier this season with the big club. The Rays offense is well below average versus righties, so Hahn is in play for those needing a late-week bst.Mike Mayers will be summoned by the Cardinals as they need a spot starter. Hes a 24-year-old righty who has split his season between Double-A Springfield and Triple-A Memphis. Hes not especially dominant but he keeps the ball in the yard. Its a bit curious that Mayers has pitched more than six innings only once all season, his initial outing. If youre chasing a win, Mayers is in play.AvoidWith the standard Sunday disclaimer that your situation may dictate taking a chance, only Tyrell Jenkins in Crs and Tim Lincecum in Minute Maid Park join Vance Worley and Tommy Milone as t risky.HittingTommy Milone is the sort who can thwart what lks to be an obvious stacking scenario, so fading the Boston Red Sox is defensible. That said, on paper, this lks to be a great spot for the Fenway faithful to be rewarded with a big game. Keep an eye on catalyst Mkie Betts, who sat out Saturday with a sore knee thats been a lingering issue. Dustin Pedroia, Hanley Ramirez and Xander Bogaerts are always a threat when a lefty is on the hill. Get used to seeing Aaron Hill as an option versus southpaws as hell pick up some time at the hot corner against lefties.The Indians are hitting right-handers very hard, and that is bad news for Vance Worley and the Orioles. Carlos Santana and Jason Kipnis get things started for Francisco Lindor and Lonnie Chisenhall. Tyler Naquin hits lower in the order but has exhibited surprising power, making him an intriguing GPP option.The Houston Astros sticks have calmed down after a strong start to the month, but with Lincecum taking the ball in Minute Maid Park, the likes of Jose Altuve, George Springer and Carlos Correa are very much in play. Marwin Gonzalez is a sneaky play from the 2-hole, with Luis Valbuena and Preston Tucker other options with the platn edge.Finally, baseballs have not been flying out of Crs Field this weekend, but that could change with Tyrell Jenkins on the hill for the Braves. Charlie Blackmon and Carlos Gonzalez will be chalk, with Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story?as options despite lacking the platn edge.Most likely to hit a homer: Someone for the Astros is going to take Lincecum deep. George Springer isnt fazed facing righties, with 14 of his 21 homers in that scenario. Heres lking at No. 15.Most likely to steal a base: Lets go back to the well with Jon Lester on the hill and give the green light to Jonathan Villar. ' ' '
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